With UFCollective projections as a guide, we’ll dive into NFL trends and elements of lineup construction that could determine whether tournament/GPP plays offer enough differentiation from the pack to push an entry above the crowd.

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Week 10 NFL DFS Ownership Projections: Quarterback

All aboard the Jared Goff ($6,700) train. It’s public knowledge to go Goff against any below-average defense because the Rams will run it up. … Ryan Fitzpatrick ($4,900) could also go at least medium-owned on a price tag that doesn’t seem to fully adjust for no Jameis.

Drew Brees ($6,900) should go low-owned, as most of the $7Kish shares will likely be on Dak Prescott, Goff and Matthew Stafford. UFCollective pegs Brees for less than five percent owned. … Kirk Cousins ($5,900) should continue to decent volume with Washington’s inability to run, but injuries and a tough matchup should keep him super contrarian even at his deflated price this week.

Week 10 NFL DFS Ownership Projections: Running Back

Le’Veon Bell ($9,800) and Todd Gurley ($8,700) could both near 30 percent owned, and UFCollective doesn’t have any other backs coming close. Jamming both in the same GPP lineup at those prices should prove difficult, however. … Orleans Darkwa ($4,500) against the Niners could be a popular cap-relief spot to pair with one of them, as San Fran gets run over on the weekly.

Lamar Miller ($5,200) will go completely abandoned in the Deshaun Watson wake even though he’s the lead back facing a Rams D allowing the second-most DraftKings points to running backs. … UFCollective’s second release saw a surge in Bilal Powell ($4,000) ownership, going from contrarian to projected in the double digits with Matt Forte out.

Week 10 NFL DFS Ownership Projections: Receiver

The people are counting on a bounce-back week from A.J. Green ($7,700) after getting thrown out with Jalen Ramsey. Tennessee’s defense provides a nice get-right spot. … UFC Collective sees Marvin Jones ($6,200) and Robby Anderson ($5,200) edging Green in ownership. Both have found the end zone a fair amount recently, unlike some of the high-priced WRs on slate.

Will Fuller ($4,700) has seen a nosedive in price while his target volume’s remained about the same. Tom Savage is basically radioactive for DK ownership. … Adam Thielen ($6,700) could go somewhat contrarian with Stefon Diggs interestingly a couple hundo cheaper.

Week 10 NFL DFS Ownership Projections: Tight End

Evan Engram ($6,200) and Garrett Celek ($2,500) figure to bring the chalk to that Giants-Niners matchup, probably the only from this contest to do so. They’re two of the three tight ends slated for double-digit ownership in UFCollective’s Friday release.

Jason Witten ($4,400) burned the people in spots recently and could find his way to low-owned in a Falcons-Cowboys matchup with the week’s highest Vegas total. … Jack Doyle ($5,200) probably caps out at medium-owned this week against a Steelers defense allowing the second-fewest points to opposing tight ends.